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Hard to say for sure. My guess would be the PS3 by 500k to a mil, maybe a little more. the US economic Crisis clouds everything and makes it all hard to project. Yeah the 360 is a great deal, but if you have your heart set on Socom, LBP, and other Sony titles. another console is not a replacement at any price. With the US going digital in the early '09 some people maybe be looking for not only game consoles, but HD TV's and blu ray. If you fall in that category. a PS3 is a better deal than a 360 and a Blu ray player. There are just too many variables to project this holiday season. only time will tell.