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This is my prediction looking based on the amount of 360's out there and selling at the moment.

Gears 1 sold 600,000 with 5 million 360's on the market 

http://vgchartz.com/weekly.php?date=39033&console=&maker=&boxartz=1

Halo3 did 3.8 mill with about 12 mil 360's GEEEZZ!! 

http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly.php?date=39355&console=&maker=&boxartz=1

 

Preorders as of 10/15 were third to Halo 3 and Halo 2 witch the latter it probably surpassed by now. It will be hard to tell if it gives a hardware boost, but I think it will probably about the size boost that MGS4 gave to the PS3.

Any thought