Will there ever be a handheld that outsells Nintendo's?

[tuoyo]

astrosmash said:

Nickelbackro said:
Maybe PSP3 if it exists. People may say PSP hasn't been successful, but it has gone into a market with 100% Nintendo domination and took 32% of that market. In a way it reminds me of the Sega SNES battle (not a 100% comparison). Now as long as Sony actually follows up, unlike Sega, it may have a chance to claim the market in 1 or 2 gens.

I think one of the big reasons that PSP has been considered such a failure and DS such a huge success are the expectations that were set by analysts, fans and the companies themselves in 2004. In 2004 it seemed everyone was predicting Sony was going to absolutely crush Nintendo, and that Nintendo wasn't going to have a chance. The PSP was the greatest handheld ever and the DS was joke; Nintendo was doomed.

 

In the absence of those predictions people would see that Sony has made the most successful non-Nintendo handheld ever. In the absence of those predictions people would see Nintendo losing 33% marketshare.

 

But somehow almost everyone got into the mindset that Sony dominating handhelds was inevitable, and the fact that it hasn't happened makes everyone think Sony has failured.

 

I don't think talking about losing marketshare is a realistic way to look at it.  DS is going to outsell every previous Nintendo handheld or console but the way you phrase things a person reading what you have written would think DS sales have shrunk from GB or GBA sales due to the presence of PSP.  But that is the complete opposite of what is happening.