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It's been shown in a previous thread that GT4 has shipped over 10.18 million, so sales have probably broken the 10 million mark by now.

Also, keep in mind that GT5 Prologue is the first Prologue to have been released in North America.

However, I do think it's possible, if not likely, that GT5 will break the 10 million mark.  Halo 3 has sold over 8 million so far, MGS4 is tracking well above MGS3, even despite MGS3 releasing over the holidays in North America and Japan, and BOTH versions of DMC4 are tracking above DMC3.  Software sales on both the 360 and ps3 are quite healthy.