By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
kitler53 on 22 October 2008
Edit Thread
Squilliam said:
kitler53 said:

because 6 previous generations of experience say so.

gen 6 graph over 5 years: http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=GC®1=All&cons2=PS2®2=All&cons3=XB®3=All&weeks=312&weekly=1

gen 5 over 5 years: http://vgchartz.com/hwlaunch.php?cons1=N64®1=All&cons2=PS®2=All&cons3=®3=------&weeks=312&weekly=1

the generation losers: peak sales around year 3, sales stop by end of year 5.

the generation winner: peak sales in year 3-4, sales maintain much longer than year 5.

the 360 is finishing up year 3 - expect a year over year drop next year and a near hault in sales the following year.

the ps3 is finishing up year 2 - expect a year over year increase next year and then a drop the following year.

Why would the Xbox 360 peak whilst the PS3 is not? They are essentially the same machines if you look at it from a game playing perspective. If they are going to peak, then they will both have their peak year in 2009 and then decline. The software sales/hardware sales of the Xbox 360 indicate a system which is still yet to peak, the majority of software/hardware sales have occoured in the last 24 months.

 

listen, everstar you too, i could list of dozens of reasons why gen 6 was unlike gen 5 was unlike gen 4 is different from the current gen.  and despite all these differences every generation follows the same sales pattern, a basic bell curve with a peak around year 3 with the market leader experienceing kurtosis favoring post peak years.

i like my 360 as the next guy but seperate your emotion from the facts: the ps3 will eventually outsell the 360.  how about you just take solace in this: if sony can fall and nintedo rise this much between generations there is no reason to believe MS couldn't be market leader next gen with the right innovations and marketing.