Look at 2007:
Between January and October, the 360 jumped from 8m to 12m. From October to New Years, it went to 15.6m.
Wii? Jan-Oct went from 3-12, and then 12 - 19m from Oct to Dec.
PS3? Jan - Oct 1.2 - 5m, and then 5m to 8.8m from Oct to Dec.
Of course there are some reasons to think that this year won't quite behave like last:
1) 360 had a significant price cut this year, but no "Halo" level software.
2) Wii is less supply constrained, so it could actually do better.
3) PS3 sales simply sucked the first half of 2007. The second half boost came, in part, from a price cut and new model. Without those, and economic fears, it is the PS3 that is most likely to see a decreased performance (though it has strong enough software, and BR support, so that's far from guaranteed).
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