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The Wii most likely will meet 50% market share. The question is when?

The overall rate at which the 360 and PS3 are selling will not be enough to prevent this from happening. I don't see the possibility of Nintendo screwing up anytime soon either.

In order for this to happen this year, the supply of Wii must be solid throughout the holiday season.

Hopefully, Wii Music is well received worldwide because it probably is the biggest game of the holiday lineup.

The $200 price tag of the 360 arcade bundle is clearly not a hurdle for the Wii at this point. What grounds do you have to believe that the 360 would suddenly be a compelling force to be reckoned with during the holiday season?