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FishyJoe said:
I think SMG is a better comparison for LBP. They are both flagships for their brand and have full backing by their systems.

But with a very different base.

Right now, the PS3 is largely owned by "hardcore" Sony fans - casuals are staying away in droves thanks to the price. And these core Sony gamers are often the ones who spent deriding the Nintendo games and systems as "kiddie" (actually saw an ad to that effect recently).

Meanwhile Nintendo's base loves Mario, and largely doesn't give a damn about the cute label. Plus the Wii has a ton of casuals who care even less.

I think hype will propel LBP to 1m, but I suspect it will have a hard time reaching or breaking 2m.