steven787 on 14 October 2008
Polling Data
| Poll | Date | Sample | Obama (D) | McCain (R) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average |
10/06 - 10/13 |
-- |
50.2 |
42.1 |
Obama +8.1 |
| LA Times/Bloomberg | 10/10 - 10/13 | 1030 LV | 50 | 41 | Obama +9 |
| CBS News/NY Times | 10/10 - 10/13 | 699 LV | 53 | 39 | Obama +14 |
| Rasmussen Tracking | 10/11 - 10/13 | 3000 LV | 50 | 45 | Obama +5 |
| Reuters/C-Span/Zogby Tracking | 10/11 - 10/13 | 1208 LV | 49 | 43 | Obama +6 |
| Hotline/FD Tracking | 10/11 - 10/13 | 829 LV | 48 | 42 | Obama +6 |
| Gallup Tracking (Traditional)* | 10/11 - 10/13 | 2140 LV | 51 | 45 | Obama +6 |
| Gallup Tracking (Expanded)* | 10/11 - 10/13 | 2289 LV | 53 | 43 | Obama +10 |
| GW/Battleground Tracking | 10/08 - 10/13 | 800 LV | 53 | 40 | Obama +13 |
| IBD/TIPP Tracking | 10/06 - 10/12 | 825 LV | 45 | 43 | Obama +2 |
| USA Today/Gallup (Traditional)* | 10/10 - 10/12 | 761 LV | 50 | 46 | Obama +4 |
| USA Today/Gallup (Expanded)* | 10/10 - 10/12 | 1030 LV | 52 | 45 | Obama +7 |
| ABC News/Wash Post | 10/08 - 10/11 | 766 LV | 53 | 43 | Obama +10 |
| FOX News | 10/08 - 10/09 | 900 RV | 46 | 39 | Obama +7 |
| Newsweek | 10/08 - 10/09 | 1035 RV | 52 | 41 | Obama +11 |
Obama/Biden 313
238 Solid 
75 Leaning
McCain/Palin 158
140 Solid 
18 Leaning
Toss Up 67
67 Toss Up
238 SOLID.
| Ohio (20) | 48.9 | 45.5 | Obama +3.4 | Toss Up |
Bush +2.1 | Bush +3.5 |
| Nevada (5) | 49.2 | 46.3 | Obama +2.9 | Toss Up |
Bush +2.6 | Bush +3.5 |
| North Carolina (15) | 47.8 | 46.8 | Obama +1.0 | Toss Up |
Bush +12.4 | Bush +12.8 |
| Missouri (11) | 49.0 | 46.8 | Obama +2.2 | Toss Up |
Bush +7.2 | Bush +3.3 |
| Indiana (11) | 45.0 | 48.8 | McCain +3.8 | Toss Up |
Bush +20.7 | Bush +15.7 |
| West Virginia (5) | 44.3 | 46.5 | McCain +2.2 | Toss Up |
Bush +12.9 | Bush +6.3 |
| Colorado (9) | 49.5 | 44.3 | Obama +5.2 | Leaning |
Bush +4.7 | Bush +8.4 |
| Florida (27) | 50.0 | 45.0 | Obama +5.0 | Leaning |
Bush +5.0 | Bush +0.1 |
| Virginia (13) | 50.6 | 44.1 | Obama +6.5 | Leaning |
Bush +8.2 | Bush +8.1 |
| New Mexico (5) | 49.8 | 42.5 | Obama +7.3 | Leaning |
Bush +0.7 | Gore +0.1 |
| Georgia (15) | 44.0 | 50.8 | McCain +6.8 | Leaning |
Bush +16.6 | Bush +11.7 |
| Minnesota (10) | 51.3 | 42.6 | Obama +8.7 | Leaning |
Kerry +3.5 | Gore +2.4 |
| Washington (11) | 49.8 | 41.8 | Obama +8.0 | Leaning |
Kerry +8.2 | Gore +5.5 |
Holy mother of god. North Dakota is leaning.
| Date | State | Previous Status | Current Status | RCP Electoral Count | RCP National Avg. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/14 | Wisconsin | Leaning Obama | »»» | Solid Obama | Obama 313 - McCain 158 | Obama +7.3 |
| 10/14 | Michigan | Leaning Obama | »»» | Solid Obama | Obama 313 - McCain 158 | Obama +7.3 |
| 10/14 | Colorado | Toss Up | »»» | Leaning Obama | Obama 313 - McCain 158 | Obama +7.3 |
| 10/13 | Florida | Toss Up | »»» | Leaning Obama | Obama 304 - McCain 158 | Obama +7.2 |
| 10/13 | North Dakota | Solid McCain | »»» | Leaning McCain | Obama 304 - McCain 158 | Obama +7.2 |
I would cite regulation, but I know you will simply ignore it.
