Now I think there is no way that LBP does not do at least 2-3x better in sales than Z&W. But I am talking in relative terms. Meaning will LBP do much less in sales than it should have because of its "differentness". Much like Z&W.
I want this game to do well, think a game that is extemely creative like this doing well will do wonders to diversify the industry (I like FPS games, but really, you can only play 1 at a time)
I think if this game sell 900k to 1.2 million based on how good the game is and budget it will have gotten Z&W.
I personally am hopeful it catches on and sells 2.5-3 million. We shall see if the testoterone charged "haloboy" types can get by its uniqueness.
End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)
Wii- 72 million 3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases
360- 37 million Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak
PS3- 29 million Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut
