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you guys are forgeting 2 X factors here though, first is Fable 2 it will give a bump and grand theft auto 4,fallout 3 and banjo kazoie...I know these arent thought to do significant in japan however they will do suprisingly well....second is there is a shortage of xbox 360's in alot of places through out japan that will be filled in through october and november and december...you guys be prepared to eat crow