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The Bradley Effect may be severely diminished by the horrible economic news that is happening almost daily.

Anyways, here are the most recent national poll numbers, electoral count, and battleground state numbers from RCP:

National:

RCP Average 10/01 - 10/09 -- 49.5 43.3 Obama +6.2
Gallup Tracking 10/07 - 10/09 2784 RV 51 41 Obama +10
Rasmussen Tracking 10/07 - 10/09 3000 LV 50 45 Obama +5
Hotline/FD Tracking 10/07 - 10/09 838 LV 48 41 Obama +7
Reuters/CSpan/Zogby Tracking 10/07 - 10/09 1203 LV 48 43 Obama +5
GW/Battleground Tracking 10/06 - 10/09 800 LV 51 43 Obama +8
Time 10/03 - 10/06 1053 LV 50 44 Obama +6
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/04 - 10/05 658 RV 49 43 Obama +6
CBS News 10/03 - 10/05 616 LV 48 45 Obama +3
CNN 10/03 - 10/05 694 LV 53 45 Obama +8
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/02 - 10/06 858 RV 47 40 Obama +7
Democracy Corps (D) 10/01 - 10/05 1000 LV 49 46 Obama +3

Electoral Count:

Electoral College Obama McCain Spread
RCP Electoral Count 277 158 Obama +119
No Toss Up States 353 185 Obama +168

Battleground States:

Ohio (20) 48.8 45.7 Obama +3.1 Toss Up Bush +2.1 Bush +3.5
Florida (27) 48.5 45.4 Obama +3.1 Toss Up Bush +5.0 Bush +0.1
Nevada (5) 49.6 46.6 Obama +3.0 Toss Up Bush +2.6 Bush +3.5
North Carolina (15) 48.4 46.6 Obama +1.8 Toss Up Bush +12.4 Bush +12.8
Missouri (11) 47.4 47.8 McCain +0.4 Toss Up Bush +7.2 Bush +3.3
Indiana (11) 45.0 48.8 McCain +3.8 Toss Up Bush +20.7 Bush +15.7
Colorado (9) 49.3 45.3 Obama +4.0 Toss Up Bush +4.7 Bush +8.4
West Virginia (5) 44.3 46.5 McCain +2.2 Toss Up Bush +12.9 Bush +6.3
Virginia (13) 50.0 44.9 Obama +5.1 Leaning Bush +8.2 Bush +8.1
Wisconsin (10) 51.4 42.6 Obama +8.8 Leaning Kerry +0.4 Gore +0.2
Michigan (17) 49.8 41.6 Obama +8.2 Leaning Kerry +3.4 Gore +5.2
New Mexico (5) 49.8 42.5 Obama +7.3 Leaning Bush +0.7 Gore +0.1
Washington (11) 49.8 41.8 Obama +8.0 Leaning Kerry +8.2 Gore +5.5
Georgia (15) 43.8 51.2 McCain +7.4 Leaning Bush +16.6 Bush +11.7

 



We had two bags of grass, seventy-five pellets of mescaline, five sheets of high-powered blotter acid, a salt shaker half full of cocaine, a whole galaxy of multi-colored uppers, downers, screamers, laughers…Also a quart of tequila, a quart of rum, a case of beer, a pint of raw ether and two dozen amyls.  The only thing that really worried me was the ether.  There is nothing in the world more helpless and irresponsible and depraved than a man in the depths of an ether binge. –Raoul Duke

It is hard to shed anything but crocodile tears over White House speechwriter Patrick Buchanan's tragic analysis of the Nixon debacle. "It's like Sisyphus," he said. "We rolled the rock all the way up the mountain...and it rolled right back down on us...."  Neither Sisyphus nor the commander of the Light Brigade nor Pat Buchanan had the time or any real inclination to question what they were doing...a martyr, to the bitter end, to a "flawed" cause and a narrow, atavistic concept of conservative politics that has done more damage to itself and the country in less than six years than its liberal enemies could have done in two or three decades. -Hunter S. Thompson