| The Ghost of RubangB said: Even if McCain wins every state that Obama is leading by 1, 2, 3, or 4%, and Obama only wins the states he's leading by 5% or more, Obama will still have over 270 electoral votes. Obama will win. People are already saying that if McCain wins it will be the biggest upset in political history, as crazy as if Hoover won in 1932. When the market fails, you throw out the party in power. |
You are correct, but I just wanted to point out a few things ...
Until very recently this race was much closer and it is only the panic caused by the $700,000,000,000.00 bail-out that has pushed Obama to his current position. Panic is also a very short lived emotion, as it wears off people may or may not re-evaluate who they are leaning towards.
For the longest time, Obama has been polling far below a "generic" Democrat as who people want as the next president and McCain has stayed remakably close to Obama even through the panic caused by the ecconomic collapse. Whether you want to admit it or not, there are a ton of people who are desperately looking for any reason not to vote for Obama and if McCain can give them one the polls could change direction on a dime.
