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Kasz216 on 05 October 2008
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NJ5 said:
fkusumot said:

Oh. They would never try to do that. That's as silly as calling him the anti-christ or saying that he's an arab and pals around with terrorists.

Full disclosure of McCain's health records or his finances would certainly be interesting. He's not willing to disclose that. With Sarah Palin as the VP and already talking like she's the president-in-waiting I really would like there to be some full disclosure of McCain's health records.

I have to say it would be interesting to see what a Palin presidency could look like.

Statistically, McCain has a 18% probability of dying during his first term. That's assuming he's as healthy as the average 72-year old, which might not be the case due to his cancer.

Let's say they currently have a 30-40% chance of winning the election. This means a 5-7% chance of Palin being president in the next four years. If McCain is less healthy than the average 72-year old, the probability is even more than that.

 

I wouldn't call him an "average" 72 year old man. 

I mean he pretty much gets the best healthcare treatment the world has to offer.

Using those stats to try and estimate something like that for McCain is very misleading.

Comparing the Healthcare John McCain is going to get vs your "average" 72 year old is going to be far and away different considering the sad number of elderly that are poor.