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The time frame we are talking here is by the end of october all of these targets will have been met. This is before the christmas silly season starts. So the biggest factors will be price, momentum and software releases.

I think the Wii has the strongest software releases in this time.
The DS definitely has the greatest momentum, but the PS3 is building.
The X360 has a price drop but it won't be enough. I see the X360 being the last to make the target.
As for the PSP, it is just ticking along. A target of 23.5 is middling (23mil would have been too easy and 24mil to much)

JRI.