| HappySqurriel said: I'm still not a very big fan of electoral-vote.com because they assign electoral college votes for states even though the difference between the candidates is (much) smaller than the margin of error on the polls they use, and much smaller than the number of undecided voters. I prefer pollster.com which currently has McCain at 163 while Obama is at 250 with 125 electoral votes undecided. At the moment, I would expect Obama to win if there was an election today ... Since McCain only really needs a 1% to 2% swing in only a handful of states to win this election I think this can still be called a very close race. An interesting thing to watch will be if the $700 Billion bailout effectively calms the market will this benefit McCain or Obama more, and will the $700 Billion bailout itself hurt McCain or Obama more. There are reasons why it could go either way ... |
I agree with you that electoral-vote.com jumps around too easily one way or the other, but every other site I have looked at shows the exact same thing, if not worse. That is what has led me to believe that McCain's problems are running pretty deep. Here are the RCP numbers:
| Electoral College | Obama | McCain | Spread |
| RCP Electoral Count | 259 | 163 | Obama +96 |
| No Toss Up States | 353 | 185 | Obama +168 |
Battleground States (notice, Obama is the only one with states leaning his way, while any states leaning McCain have eroded into toss-ups. Click the link for detailed polling averages on each state:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/#data
Toss Up
LeaningWe had two bags of grass, seventy-five pellets of mescaline, five sheets of high-powered blotter acid, a salt shaker half full of cocaine, a whole galaxy of multi-colored uppers, downers, screamers, laughers…Also a quart of tequila, a quart of rum, a case of beer, a pint of raw ether and two dozen amyls. The only thing that really worried me was the ether. There is nothing in the world more helpless and irresponsible and depraved than a man in the depths of an ether binge. –Raoul Duke
It is hard to shed anything but crocodile tears over White House speechwriter Patrick Buchanan's tragic analysis of the Nixon debacle. "It's like Sisyphus," he said. "We rolled the rock all the way up the mountain...and it rolled right back down on us...." Neither Sisyphus nor the commander of the Light Brigade nor Pat Buchanan had the time or any real inclination to question what they were doing...a martyr, to the bitter end, to a "flawed" cause and a narrow, atavistic concept of conservative politics that has done more damage to itself and the country in less than six years than its liberal enemies could have done in two or three decades. -Hunter S. Thompson
