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Aiemond said:
Thoese qunnipiac polls in OH and VA seem to be way above what we have seen, but they are a well respected poll. I wonder what's up with it. I'm just not buying that big of a jump until we see more evidence.

Definitely, they do seem a bit high in Ohio and Florida.  I would say that +6 would be about the highest anyone could reasonably estimate, whereas something in the +3-5 range is more reasonable.  It is definitely conceivable that Obama now has the edge in those states, and the averaging effect of RCP helps dilute the effect of the Quinnipac polls.

But then again McCain may just be tanking.

 



We had two bags of grass, seventy-five pellets of mescaline, five sheets of high-powered blotter acid, a salt shaker half full of cocaine, a whole galaxy of multi-colored uppers, downers, screamers, laughers…Also a quart of tequila, a quart of rum, a case of beer, a pint of raw ether and two dozen amyls.  The only thing that really worried me was the ether.  There is nothing in the world more helpless and irresponsible and depraved than a man in the depths of an ether binge. –Raoul Duke

It is hard to shed anything but crocodile tears over White House speechwriter Patrick Buchanan's tragic analysis of the Nixon debacle. "It's like Sisyphus," he said. "We rolled the rock all the way up the mountain...and it rolled right back down on us...."  Neither Sisyphus nor the commander of the Light Brigade nor Pat Buchanan had the time or any real inclination to question what they were doing...a martyr, to the bitter end, to a "flawed" cause and a narrow, atavistic concept of conservative politics that has done more damage to itself and the country in less than six years than its liberal enemies could have done in two or three decades. -Hunter S. Thompson