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The question I have yet to see answered is why would Wii sales die down? (Obviously, besides the end of a generation)

By the end of Christmas 2008 there will be (over) 85 Million current generation consoles sold, and practically everyone who you would consider a core (console) gamer will have already bought at least one of these systems. From this point on, most of the new console sales will be made up of "casual" gamers, new gamers, replacement systems, and multi-console owners.  In what way do these demographics benefit the HD consoles?