By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close

RCP currently has Obama up 4.8 points nationally -- which is extremely encouraging.. there's still a lot to be done but I'm starting to feel comfortable that Obama will be president.

All we have to do is capture the states Kerry won and add Iowa, New Mexico (which Obama has large leads in) and Colorado (which has moved up and down but now has a RCP average of 5 points in favor of Obama)

Virginia, Ohio and Florida are all very important but its not absolutely necessary to win those states.