Games that you think will fail to turn a profit.

[Zim]

Stranglehold - $30million budget? Wow that seems very high. Not only that but it's going to get swamped amongst other great titles. Shame because I think it looks incredibly good.

Lair - I think this is going to BOMB and hard as well. Just look at games such as Panzer Dragoon Orta to see that dragon riding games don't sell well. PDO also had very impressive visuals for it's time and recieved incredible reviews (which so far Lair doesn't seem to be doing). It's such an insanely niche title. I don't think any casual gamer is going to be interested in it even slightly.

MGS4 - If it stays PS3 exclusive I wouldn't be surprised if it didn't turn a profit. MGS3 sold 4million copies on a system with an install base around 100million. Being optimistic the PS3 might have an install base of 10million when MGS is released. MGS4 is going to have a significantly higher cost as well. Wouldn't be at all surprised if it needed to sell 1-1.5million copies just to break even. The popularity of the series has also dropped MGS 5.59million, MGS 2 5.56 million, MGS 3 3.96million. Considering MGS 3 was released when the PS2's install base was much bigger as well it seems that perhaps MGS2 killed off quite a few fans of the series.

Rock Band - On the net there seems to be a lot of hype but only from hardcore gamers. I think casual gamers who really drive the sales of guitar hero aren't going to be interested. They already have a guitar game in a franchise they know which is much cheaper.

Blacksite Area 51 - Looks quite good but it's launching near so many fantastic FPS.

Dragon Blade Wrath of fire - Im sure most people aren't even aware this exists.

Brunswick Pro Bowling - By all accounts it controls worse than wii sports. Why would anyone buy it?

Two Worlds - Im sure it's going to get ripped to shreds and called an oblivion clone. Maybe some Oblivion fans will buy it though =/