150 million is just Sony being optimistic. However, PS3's lifetime sales will likely be a respectable 100 million or so over 10 years. Consider the following:
1. PS3 has at least a good 3-4 price-cuts before it even hits $199. That's 3-4 chances to stimulate sales of the system before it even breaks into the mainstream market and reaches its full sales potential.
2. PS3 has HUGE system selling games coming that are bigger than both the 360's games and the Wii's. Final Fantasy XIII, Final Fantasy Versus XIII, God of War III, Resident Evil 5 and Gran Turismo 5 will collectively move several million units over the next two years.
3. Blu-ray and High-Definition will really take off starting this holiday season. PlayStation 3 will be the only system to support blu-ray in the next following years as the demand for HD booms.
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