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MikeB said:
@ HappySquirrel

Except, of course, by the time the PS3 is ready to take over the position of the PS2 the Wii will have beaten it to the punch ... The PS3 could literally have Pixar level graphics and super-computer physics simulations in a game in realtime and people will not buy it if it is $300 and only has a couple of games released for it in a month.

Sony doesn't need to outperform the XBox 360 eventually to gain second place, it needs to outperform the Wii now. Arguing over the sales of the PS3 against the XBox 360 is like getting into a pissing competition into the wind, you're in a competition where you are going to lose regardless on whether you win.


IMO the XBox 360 (Premium/Elite) is currently the PS3's main longterm competitor, not because of its market performance but because of feature overlap and market overlap (more demanding high definition games, big shared multi-platform games library). The Nintendo Wii I currently view as more of a competitor to a lower-end PS2 and maybe the XBox 360 Core.

I think it's more likely for the average gamer to own a PS3 or XBox 360 next to a Nintendo Wii in the future than a XBox 360 together with a PS3. IMO Nintendo needs to capitalize as much as possible now on its advantages, at least before many more people own HDTVs and the Blu-Ray-HD-DVD war is over. With regard to the former I am more referring to PS2 owners eventually upgrading rather than vivid Nintendo / XBox fans.

I don't know ...

It is all about limited resources ... Publishers have limited money and developers which can be devoted to produce games across all platforms (Nintendo DS, PS2, PS3, PSP, Wii. XBox 360 and PC), consumers have limited time and money to devote to gaming, and retailers have limited shelf space. The PS3/XBox 360 may be able to co-exist with the Wii but as long as the Wii continues to be successful it will limit the kind of success the PS3/XBox 360 can achieve.

The DS' success in Japan is reason enough to have developers take resources away from the PS3; 50% of the total market is the Nintendo DS and games cost a fraction (as low as 5% to 10%) of what PS3 games cost and will (likely) have larger sales.