azrm2k said:
@RealMafoo I'm sure I'm not understanding you correctly so I was wondering if you could clarify your comments.
First you state he is behind on likely voters as if it were common knowledge or a fact. Then you claim it's an opinion and you don't trust polls. I'm with you on polls not being good reasoning in arguments but if you ignore them what reasoning do you have? You can't just state Obama is "way behind on likely voters" and get defensive when I ask you why you think so. As crappy as it would be you haven't even tried offering anecdotal evidence.
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I didn't mean to come off defensive. As I read it back, I do kind of sound like a prick. Sorry for that.
I mean history has shown that regardless of polls, when people go into the voting booth, they tend to side with whoever is closes to the middle. That's McCain by a mile
It happened last time. Kerry was up on the polls, and he lost by a large margin. For some reason when the Democrats have 2-3 good candidates in the primaries, they seem to always elect the one most to the left. The republicans tend to elect those least to the right.
It's why they always win. They would have won against Clinton as well if it was not for Ross taking Republican votes. (Clinton never had a majority).
Anyway, this is my view. The most left senator in congress, is Obama. McCain is disliked by a lot of conservative republicans because he is so close to the middle.
People see this, and when you are behind the curtain, and push comes to shove, a lot of people who told a pollster that they were going with Obama, will pick McCain.