Can Mario Kart Wii become the nr 1 selling game in its first 12 months?

[Oyvoyvoyv]

abroZ said:

Oyvoyvoyv said:

Okay, this is a very short post, so that people are actually going to read it (unlike my normal threads, this is a bit of a test).

I think it has a shot (bundled game excluded of course).

http://vgchartz.com/swlaunch.php?reg1=All&game1=Grand+Theft+Auto%3A+San+Andreas+-+PS2®2=All&game2=Mario+Kart+Wii+-+Wii®3=All&game3=Pokemon+Gold+%2F+Silver+-+GB&weeks=52

 

GTA:SA sold 12.15M in its first 12 months. It holds the record as of now.

Mario Kart Wii should be able to have sold 10M by the start of 09 (probably more).

That means that it is going to need ~ 2M sales over 4 months (15 weeks). Then it would need 133K/week sales to make it. A lot, but as it would probably have sold more than 10M by the end of the year.

 

So, what do you think?

Oh, and Wii Fit has no change. It has 10 weeks to sell 5M (due to the early Japan launch)

hey oyvo I think you miscounted a bit.

MKWii is out for 22 weeks
one year has 52 weeks (52-22=30)
so that means that mkwii has still 30 weeks to sell

Now 12.5 million - 7 662 017 ( week ending September 5th) = 4 837 983

That means mkwii would have to sell 4 837 983 copies in 30 weeks
4 837 983/30 = 161 266

MKwii has to sell an avarage of 161 266 copies a week to reach 12.5 million.

Even with a holiday boost it is very unlikely this will happen.

 

I think you misunderstood me.

MKWii will have sold 10M by christmas (or so almost all of VGChartz predicts). Then it needs 133K/week to manage 12.15M