Jackson50 said:
Kasz216 said:
Jackson50 said:
akuma587 said:
New poll by SurveyUSA had Obama up by +4 in Virginia. Looks like that state will still be pretty competitive. Florida is most likely going to McCain. Ohio will be a tough battle, but right now I would call it for McCain. |
McCain will win Florida, Missouri and Nevada. It will come down to Ohio, Virginia and Colorado. If he is going to win the election, Mccain will have to win all three of those states. Two of these states are traditionally Republican (Colorado and Virginia) and one is soft Republican (Ohio), He cannot afford a 269-269 tie as the House would indubitably elect Obama and the Senate would elect Biden.
This is my favorite poll tracking site as it allows you to manipulate the EC map: http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/poll-tracker.htm
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I don't see Obama winning Ohio... what with his NAFTA position change... and the fact that a lot of people here still think he's a secret muslim.
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I am not sure about the Muslim perception, but his waffling on free-trade made Ohio more competitive than I thought it would be. It is now appearing as if OH and VA are beginning to lean towards McCain. That leaves Colorado as the state to watch. If McCain does win those two states in addition to NH and Obama wins CO...this election would make the controversey in 2000 look like nothing. Certain Democratic states would have majority Republican delegation (MI and NM), and certain Republican states (TN and AR) would have a majority Democrati delegation. I believe the Democrats have a slight majority in state delegations right now, but I am fairly certain the country does not want to go this route.
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You'd be surprised... it's pretty sad. There were people during the whole Jerimiah Wright thing claiming it was a conspiracy to hide his secret muslimness.
