Why the 10-year plan is feasible...

[Squilliam]

HappySqurriel said:

Squilliam said:
In 2011 at 32nm process node a console manufacturer will be able to release a console which is at least 4x more powerful than the current generation of consoles on half as much silicon. Progress is always going to happen and people won't understand why such power is needed until it actually starts being used.

 

It is possible that by the end of 2011 (and certainly by the end of 2012) we could be working with a 22nm process which would mean that you could produce something 4 times as powerful as the PS3/XBox 360 at the cost to manufacture the Wii.

Consoles are usually produced on mature process nodes. Even Intels Tick/Tock cycle would put them as just implementing the 22nm process node at the end of 2012 and the other silicon manufacturers are behind Intel in this regard and the gap is more likely to increase rather than decrease as the shrinks become harder to implement.

The only console released in 2012 which would be likely incorperating chips produced at 22nm would be one which incorperates an Intel processor of some kind.

OT: Its funny, these pictures don't look any better than tech demos released by Nvidia or ATI as far back as 2005 and they were rendered in real time as well.