Sony is not going to stick with the PS3 for 10 years. They will keep the same architecture as the PS3 for the PS4, which will make it backward compatible with the PS3. Microsoft, Nintendo, and Sony will have a new console on the market before the 10 year period. Besides gamers like the latest and greatest consoles as well as developers. Most if not all Western developers have left the PS2 and Most JRPG developers have moved own as well. This is what happened to the PSX, which had decent support during the first year of the PS2's life span but new software began to dry up and a lot of shovel ware was released for the system because of it's user base. Also the PS2 is on a constant decline in Japan and it has nothing to do with Sony. Consumers are moving to the newer platforms and portables.
This leads to my next point. The portable market has grown and will continue to grow. Developers are developing games for them and the costs are low and the returns are high. A lot of companies can survive and flourish just by supporting the portable market. The rising cost of develop for the home console will cause more developers to depend on the sales of portable games and will become part of their strategic plan. Therefore a console languishing in the market to recoup cost will falter. There are too many alternatives that will provide developers and publishers with funds to sustain or grow their company. Note: do not forget about the cell phone market. That area is growing really fast.
If Nintendo is successful at the moment, it’s because they are good, and I cannot blame them for that. What we should do is try to be just as good.----Laurent Benadiba
