i think they cannot drop the optical drive for next generation yet. there are still wide parts of the world where most peopel don't have internet access that allows them to easily download 40-50gb games. right now most games are not that big yet, but in 2-3 years with improved graphics and sound most games will most likely fill a dual layer Blue ray.
even with 10mbit connection a 40gb download will take like 10 hours, peopel with less than 10 mbit wil need days to download a game. also even with a terrabyte hd you would only be able to fit about 20 of these games on it (and most poeple probably want space for movies and otehr things too), without optical media you would have to redownload each game once you uninstalled it.
while i think taht digital distribution will get bigger with next console generation, i don't think any console will come with an optical drive (especially with bd drives getting cheaper fast as they enter mass market more and more it will not be that bad anymore).
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