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I will admit to being one of those that predicted 50 million by the end of 2008. Back at the begining of December 2007 I made some estimated gusses as to when and how much Nintendo would raise production. My estimate have been pretty must spot on, but I didn't expect that there would be so few consoles in Jan and Feb. My original estimates were 48.5 mill by the end of 2008, 20mill by the end of 2007 and 28.5 mil during 2008. So I rounded up the 28.5 to 30 because I am an optimst.

All that said, I won't be right with my original prediction. I can see now that Nintendo won't produce enough. I still expect 45-47 million by the end of 2008.