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Stever89 said:
I put a lot of faith in VGC # to estimate NPD numbers. According to this site, the Wii only sold 433k in August, while theSimExchange has it at 560k for the USA only, so I invested heavily on the fact that its going to be lower.

We can argue over which numbers are better, but VGC and NPD have had some significant differences lately.  The 360 sales for last month being the largest.