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I'm going to say 360 successor by 2011, 2012 latest. I think alot of people forget that the original xbox's life ended prematurely due to Nvidia. The 360 WILL be the flagship console for Microsoft until 2011 at the earliest, I mean a 5 year lifespan is a bit short.

I'm going to say at least 45 million by the time the next-box rolls around, and probably 55-60 million lifetime (as in when production ceases).

I would say anything above 45 million and MS is laughing, they can proudly announce to the world that the 360 increased it's hardware sales 200% over the original xbox.