For instance, the 360 sold 3,085,000 up to this point last year while the PS3 sold 3,200,000. From this point on, the 360 sold 67% more than it did up to this point in the holiday season while the PS3 sold 48% more.
This year, the PS3 sold 6,189,000 while the 360 has sold 4,594,000 up to this point. Using the hardware jump %, the PS3 would sell a little over 9,000,000 consoles this winter while the 360 would sell a little over 7,700,000.
This is being very generous to the 360, since the real reason for that jump was the huge Halo numbers, so saturation would make 67% more hardware sales during the holiday season than in the first 8 months EXTREMELY unlikely, yet the 360 still would be outsold by 1.3million consoles.
So this isn't only possible, its actually very probable. Selling 50% more during the holiday season than in the first 8 months is very possible, and that would put the PS3 at 9,000,000 on the year. The PS3 also has the biggest potential console seller in LBP, whether people admit it not, since it is the first respectable effort for an HD console to create demand for the casual group. (Ratchet and Clank, Viva Pinata, Singstar have all been really half assed attempts, never the highlight of the lineup.)
I think the lead will be cut down to within 2,000,000 by the end of the year WW, and I also think the 360's price cut will have the 360 sell more than 100,000 only one week in September, and would still be outsold WW if the PS3 wasn't having a "bottleneck".
