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Did you notice the PS3 just this week, finally crossed the margin of having more PS3s sold than copies of XII? I find it very hard to understand how XIII, despite all the hearalding the forum gives it (mostly from the fallout of the whole "XIII will save the PS3 in Japan and ascend it to the heavens" crowd), can sell so danged well when it's being put on a poor selling system.

MGS4, for all the fanfare and sales it's had, is still below 75% of the LTD of MGS2, and around 77% of MGS3. This would put FFXIII still under 1.8m units sold LTD in Japan.

We could also look at other preformances of bigger-ish games to determine where XIII may land:

PS2 Game PS3 Game PS2 Sales PS3 Sales Margin
Hot Shots Golf 4  Hot Shots Golf 5 1,083,000 384,000 35.4% of PS2 Sales
Devil May Cry 3 Devil May Cry 4 281,000 304,000 108.1% of PS2 Sales
Yakuza 2 Yakuza 3 573,000 267,000 46.5% of PS2 Sales
Dynasty Warriors 5 Dynasty Warriors 6 918,000 356,000 38.7% of PS2 Sales
Winning Eleven 08 Winning Eleven 08 673,000 275,000 40.8% of PS2 Sales
Ridge Racer V Ridge Racer 7 611,000 149,000 24.3% of PS2 Sales

The average margin is (including MGS3/4), around 55.2% between all given titles. With that kind of dropoff for PS2 to PS3 titles...Why should I believe that it will magically improve by a large margin? Will it get better? Yes. But I don't expect it to grow as large as some PS3 fanboys hope it does, so the PS3 magically sells more consoles in a market it sucks in.



Back from the dead, I'm afraid.