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Dark Jedi said: Ps3 will be selling 200000 consoles per month in japan, and being very optimistic, let's say they will do other 200000 consoles in the US. That makes 1.2 million till the end of march. Supposing other 200000 consoles are sol in Europe, that makes 1.4m. PS3 has sold 1.4m until the end of december, so for the end of March, there will be 2.8m ps3 sold, far away from the 6 m Sony planned, and even the 4.5m the anallist says they will sell. Those 4.5m seem to be completely impossible to reach.
Your estimations are laughable .Even the X360 has been selling more than 200 000 per month in NA ,Playstation 3 will do the same or probably better.After your numbers with the consoles sent in december there would be enough stock for january and first days of february and that simply isnt possible as most shops are sold out and receiving consoles twice a week .In Japan it is selling 70-75 000 per week with shortages ...less that 300 000 per month is nearly impossible .Plus in Europe you have a month or less that a month but it will be the launch month and people have been waiting here ages for this console all the allotment will be sold and it wont be just 200 000 consoles .I think a good estimations would be 300 000 for NA for January ,300 000 for Japan in January ,about the same for february for each territory ,and some 350 000 per month in march with many software shipping by then ...in Europe they will send 1 million (providing it sells so bad in Japan and USA and they can send a lot of consoles here as you are implying ) and it can sell out .That added to the 1.25 million by 31 dec would put the numbers at end march around ...4 million 125K consoles ...