If both consoles stay in the race long enough....
The PS3 has a good chance. But I think it really depends on how aggressive Microsoft and Sony are at price cuts...If the X360 NA pricecut has the positive intended effect it had in Europe, then the PS3 may have a very difficult road ahead of it, as the PS3 enjoys a very slight advantage in Europe/JP, and the X360 would be edging out the PS3 in NA by a strong margin, effectively drawing a tie.
If that happens, then the question goes to how long the consoles will sustain sales for - Most analysts (and myself) anticipate a new X console in 2011/2012 - When will the PS4 come?
Regardless, it could be very close, and the X360 edges it out, or the PS3 does in far earlier, around the 35-40m range.
Back from the dead, I'm afraid.
