I like how you made assumptions about release dates for games in order to spread out the exclusives love over the course of next year, in particular Uncharted 2, The Agency (I thought it was scraped), God of War 3 and Team Ico's project.
Also, I'd be interested to see Blu-ray to HD TV attach rates, because of the PS3 owners I know in person (including myself) only 1 of them I would consider a Blu-ray Buyer (the rest haven't except one guy to see what 1080p was like).
I would also like to see what the rise of HD TV sales are like from last year. Obviously people who's TVs are at the end of their life will opt for HD if they can (That's the only reason I bought a HD tv) for future-proof reasons. But considering that alot of countries have very limited HD channels with UNIQUE content from the SD versions, I don't see many opting for it unless they are actually out for a new TV.
Rockstar exclusive game: Well considering how well table tennis and bully have done compared to the monster that is Grand Theft Auto, I doubt this "big" exclusive will be as important as say GT5 or GoW3.
Playstation Home: I don't like to comment on things without it being released yet, but honestly, I don't see how people can still count on this to be a big thing for the PS3. Look at MS, everything you want is done by lists and you can just select the option, but in HOME you are forced to move your 3D avatar into those areas to access the same menu's. They may allow for a 2D list version, but that defeats the purpose of home to begin with right?
Also, why would somebody buy a $699 (RRP in AUD) for a console for HOME when second life gives the exact same thing (with less bugs and a bigger community) for free?
I actually agree with you that 09-10 will be big for PS3, but you've only said one thing I agree with. Here's what'll make (or break) PS3 in those years:
- Exclusive games (if they drop in 09/10 they are late, but not necessarily too late to swing the tide)
- Price Drop (It will happen, and it will do wonders for PS3 sales)







