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montrealsoon said:

Nintendo forecasts around 197,000,000 cartridges sold for the DS in the current year.

Look at the big picture, not some cherry picked scenario....

 

 Wow. if I'm running a developer, like say Square Enix, what the hell do I care if 200 million cartridges have been sold? Is the money from those sales going in my pocket? NO. My goal is to sell as many copies of the game I've developed. That's the big picture. Many people assume a 75 million install base and 200 million pieces of software sold means any good game that is released on the system will sell well. I'm showing you that that assumption is not only flawed, but is actually false.

I think you think that I'm trying to knock the DS for some reason. That's not the point. I realize the DS has sold a ton of hardware and software and that's great. But those good sales don't mean it's always a good idea for me the developer to release my game on the DS and avoid any other lesser selling system.



My Top 5:

Shadow of the Colossus, Metal Gear Solid 3, Shenmue, Skies of Arcadia, Chrono Trigger

My 2 nex-gen systems: PS3 and Wii

Prediction Aug '08: We see the PSP2 released fall '09. Graphically, it's basically the same as the current system. UMD drive ditched and replaced by 4-8gb on board flash memory. Other upgrades: 2nd analog nub, touchscreen, blutooth, motion sensor. Design: Flip-style or slider. Size: Think Iphone. Cost: $199. Will be profitable on day 1.