RPGs sales on X360 USA: Where will they wind up at?

[ckmlb]

mrstickball said:
ckmlb - so you think that the RPGs for the X360 that are coming out this year (the JRPGs) are going to be the most frontloaded games the X360 has?

I really doubt that....But that's just me. No X360 RPG has had under a 3x multiplier in the US.

Yes, I do actually. These are the first Japanese RPGs to hit the 360 here and I do believe the Japanese RPG audience in the 360 is quite small within the total number of owners. Something like Oblivion will do great and Two Worlds will do better than it should, but JRPGs will disappoint sales wise at least that's my expectation (compared to what they should get cause of quality, not disappoint as in bomb).

I believe the fans of JRPGs will flock and buy them the first day or first week because these are big games to them and then after that these titles will fall off big time.

All this is untested though, so I think Blue Dragon will be a good first test and from there it will be clearer how ES and LO will do.