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Seihyouken said:

So what do you guys think? Will Microsoft get their $50,000,000 investment back?

In order for MS to break even, both packs would need to be bought by at least 1,250,000 people. GTAIV has sold about 6,000,000 copies so far, but the majority of those sales are probably casual gamers who couldn't care less about DLC or hardcore gamers who have long since moved on from the game. Furthermore, $20 is an aweful lot for DLC.

I think it's going to be VERY tight.

 

Even if MS doesn't sell $50 million worth of GTA DLC, it doesn't mean they made a bad investment. The most important aspect of the exclusive DLC was to convince consumers that the 360 was actually not only in the same league as the PS3, but it was actually superior. IMO, a lot of people bought that marketing ploy considering the 360 is still well ahead of the PS3. People forget that when GTAIV was announced to be coming to the 360 with exclusive episodes, most people assumed the PS3 was going to rape the 360 like the PS2 did. So in a lot of ways, MS has already made up a lot of that investment w/out even selling a single episode.



My Top 5:

Shadow of the Colossus, Metal Gear Solid 3, Shenmue, Skies of Arcadia, Chrono Trigger

My 2 nex-gen systems: PS3 and Wii

Prediction Aug '08: We see the PSP2 released fall '09. Graphically, it's basically the same as the current system. UMD drive ditched and replaced by 4-8gb on board flash memory. Other upgrades: 2nd analog nub, touchscreen, blutooth, motion sensor. Design: Flip-style or slider. Size: Think Iphone. Cost: $199. Will be profitable on day 1.