There is ample reason for both Microsoft and Nintendo to be fast out of the gates for the next generation, and more to the point Neither one of them has anything to lose regardless of their current of future profitability. Both for the most important reason of all. They want to push Sony out of the market permanently.
The way to accomplish this is to make it to expensive for Sony to continue. The fastest most efficient way to do this is to play the generation gambit. Force Sony to abandon the PS3. Force Sony to continually lose money, and they will have no choice but to leave.
More to the point Microsoft and Nintendo have another huge advantage that will vaporize with time. They actually have the technological advantage. They used more common architectures. Sony has to compensate for its own radical design choices. They had to do that earlier this generation with disastrous results. Sony will have to make allowances for backward compatibility with not only PS3 titles, but PS2 titles as well. Unless they decide to white wash backward compatibility from their next console. The longer this generation continues the more chance Sony will have to incorporate a software solution using much more powerful common hardware.
Bottom line the faster Microsoft and Nintendo get to the next generation the worse for Sony. Not only will it cost Sony more money, but it will force them to make design compromises. Imagine what happens if Sony cannot avail the PS4 with backward compatibility. Gamers will start shitting fire and spitting acid. Microsoft and Nintendo will point to that and say look how poorly Sony is treating the gamer.
I think it is unfathomable that one of these competitors will not decide to push Sony to see if they cannot break Sony while they are down. The opportunity is there to be had.
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