4 years for BR movie dominance?

[Ail]

HappySqurriel said:

Wow, I guess it's not just videogame analysts who are insane.

Blu-ray discs will outsell standard DVDs in the U.S. by a 3-to-2 margin by 2012 as Blu-ray player prices fall, retailers clear more space for the format and more people use videogame consoles and other devices to watch the high-definition discs, according to a report released this week.

The optimistic "The World Ecconomy has no problems!" predictions from 2006/2007 had HDTVs reaching 50% adoption in 2010. We should all anticipate an ecconomy with higher food and energy prices, with slower wage growth and higher-unemployement, and difficult to access credit until (at least) 2010; which means that HDTV adoption will slow and probably not hit the 50% mark until mid to late 2011.

On top of this, we all probably know several people who have bought an HDTV but don't watch any HD content because that wasn't the primary reason they bought their TV. People (like my Mother) wanted an HDTV because she could hang it on the wall in her living room and it wouldn't take up much space, and was a far smaller eyesore ... Sadly enough, one of the first things she did was hook up a VCR to the TV so she could record her favourite shows.

Digital downloads and video on demand are gaining steam and, while they won't be a dominant format by 2012, they will certainly eat away at Blu-Ray adoption because many people consider convienience to be the ultimate high quality in a product.

I think he's right and it's going to happen.

I highly doubt either retailers or movie studios are making much money selling DVDs of old movies at 5$ a piece and they are all anxious to move on.

Besides you start to see the space dedicated to BlueRay increase at retailers and the price go down ( recent movies were 22.99$ at Best Buy).

Don't forget they are speaking $ volume either, BlueRay can win that battle without moving as many units as DVDs as the DVDs sold for 4-5$ amount to very little in the total revenue...........

Digital download is good but there still lacks a decent size media to store your download and having to relaunch it when you want to watch a movie just isn't convenient...

 

I have over 300 DVDs and I have watched the majority of them more than one time, some as many as 8-9 times...

Anyway the first big test for Blue Ray will be the release of this year's May-June Blockbusters.

I think BlueRay will do over 12% of DVD revenue on those...

I think what will help BlueRay win that battle in the end is that at the same time as the number of BlueRay sold raises the average price of DVDs sold is falling and the number of DVDs sold weekly isn't raising...