I don't think that Blu-Ray will phase out DVD that quickly. It will pull some greater numbers as the players get to $100 price point but DVD is going to linger for a long time with strong sales. BR adoption will scale with HDTV adoption. This is something that DVD didn't have to deal with when taking over VHS. Since DVDs are the same size and, thus, no less inconvenient. There will be no super race for people to replace them. While sales for new movies will increase on the BR side (especially if they release at comparable price to DVD), sales for old movies will be sluggish. There won't be a big rush by studios to republish their whole catalog on BR like they did with DVD.
I give this thread a 9.5.
Thank god for the disable signatures option.
