I'd wait for the LBP advertising to kick in before saying it will flop. It's a new IP, and sort of a new concept for consoles. I think it may not sell amazingly at the start, but will have decent legs to pull it at least above 2 million. As for Spore, I don't think there's any chance in hell for it flopping. Maybe if you're comparing its sales with the Sims...
I think MadWorld is definitely a contender for a flop. The devs have practically proven themselves at this (regardless of how great the games are), unfortunately. Unless it's advertised well, I see this selling to around NMH numbers, because it looks just as niche as NMH or Okami was. I hope I'm wrong, though.







