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I wouldn't be bold enough to predict those kinds of numbers in the 200m+ region but I do think that the Wii has a serious chance at 130-150m, the even higher numbers might be possible but its very very hard to base that sort of prediction on traditional indicators. I personally don't think there is any good indication of Wii demand right now due to extreme supply constraints. We still have no way to know what the full scope of the Wii demand is. So with that in mind, in the past I based my numbers on just what was observable. But if I'm going to answer where I think it will end up, just as a gut feeling I would probably set the numbers something like this...

Wii: 100-150m
PS3: 45-55m
360: 40-50m

Now if you want me to base it off what is observable right now I would come up with something like this...

Wii: 75-90m
PS3: 30-35m
360: 40-50m

If i was doing a full prediction I would go much farther in depth and have a single number for each console with explanations as to how it got to that point. But this is a rough "guesstimation" off the top of my head.



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