I think that the 360 is in danger of falling to 2nd place once nintendo surpasses it, and will at some later point fall to third place once the PS3 passes it.
Well, you have to realize that the 360 is only going to have a good 6 years to do its thing, and after that it is going to cease to be a competitive player.
If it already has had 2 years where it has sold 10million, the best that it could do in the next 4 is another 20 million, however I will try to be conservative here and give it 17.5million.
The 360 just isn't going to be doing good for the short term b/c their games division is pretty cash-poor at this point, and hasn't had the money to woo developers to give it good games lately. Almost every game announced by the 360 or PS3 platforms has gone to the PS3, a big change from 4-5 months ago. Of course this will probably amend itself by early 2008 when microsoft will have had the time to fix its reliability issues for the 360 and won't have to waste all of that $$$$ on refurbishing 360s but by then, Sony and nintendo will have gotten stronger.
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