| Legend11 said: I don't see why the PS3 can't last 10 years, I mean if graphics no longer matter who cares if it's outdated in the latter half of it's life. Chances are the people buying it in the latter part of it's life are those mass market consumers who don't put graphics at a high priority. I also suspect that since both Sony and Microsoft were badly burned by going to market with new powerful expensive machines that they'll extend the lifespans of them in order to try to recoup their investments and wait until a significantly more powerful machine is cheaper to produce than the PS3 and 360 originally were. |
I don't disagree that the technology of the PS3 will still be very good for producing games on from 2011 to 2016 (or beyond). The problem is selling the system to consumers past 2011 if it is not to dominant system this generation ...
Assume for a moment that the PS3 ends up selling only 10 Million units worldwide by the end of 2008, by mid 2008 every third party publisher would have reduced suport to nearly nothing and the system would become (essentially) impossible to sell at a price above $100; from this point on third parties would continue to reduce any support that the PS3 had until there was no support at all. Even if the technology was good enough to last 10 years the system would be dead before its 4th aniversary.
