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NJ5 said:
SlorgNet said:
In re price: don't forget the rate of inflation -- it's a bit above 3% a year, and that adds up over time. That $199 magic price-point in 2000 would be close to $299 in 2009 dollars. Assuming an annual $100 reduction in price - perfectly reasonable, because electronics drop 35-40% a year and Sony has moved aggressively on PS3 cost reduction - Sony's game-plan looks like this:

2007: $499 Early adopters and HDTV aficionados get it
2008: $399 HDTV crosses 50% penetration, mass market builds
2009: $299 HDTV universal, mass sales take off


Maybe I'm off here, but 50% HDTV penetration by next year seems incredibly optimistic to me...

 


It's true, analyst expect 52 million homes to have HD-TV by the end of 2008.  This puts it at about a 36% penetration.