appolose said:
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1:
Well quantum mechanics like most fields is certainly full of theory and hypothesis. However, a substantial understanding through observation and testing does exist. Particle Accelerators like CERN's LEP and the newly built LHC are probably the most notable examples of such endeavors. In the case of the Uncertainty Principle its validity has been established through experiment, it's actually fundamental to the way particle accelerators work. So while its fair to say we don't have a fundamental understanding yet, its hardly the case that these are merely ideas without basis.
As for the issue of spontaneous creation itself, I would go no further myself than saying that there is no logical conclusion to be drawn on the issue one way or the other. But the fact that this possibility remains certainly opens up a number of possibilities that many ordinary people have probably ruled out. Not the least of which is a natural origin to the universe. Even if a natural origin were proven, the possibility of a supernatural origin is still preserved because a supernatural being would certainly be capable of using natural forces to do his work.
2:
Much appreciated.
3:
I think perhaps it is important to distinguish a bit on this point. The relevant possibilities are that the universe has an infinite past and/or that it has a finite past with beginning. Its future is, I think we can agree, irrelevant to the discussion even if its quite relevant to ourselves personally. The finite past with a beginning is established by point 1 above as being possible, even if we don't understand it yet so logically cannot be ruled out. This discussion I'm assuming (correct me if I'm wrong) is to focus on the second possibility of an infinite past.
In the case of the infinite past there are several possibilities that can be considered and certainly supernatural creation is one of them. There are also a couple of situations where an infinite past can be indistinguishable from a finite past. For example, the sphere example above where it's important to keep in mind that every instant in time is a function of the prior instant (ie even though you reach the same place on the sphere again its conditions can be vastly different, or in other words in this model the future is the past is the future).
Alternatively if we look at the expanding & contracting universe model we have to consider that we have no way to know that this isn't in fact the first expansion. It is believed that no information survives the singularity and if that is truly the case it is impossible to know how many times we've ridden the roller coaster (so to speak). The expanding/contracting model is actually itself not distinct from the spherical model I presented above, it may simply be that the function loops back on itself each time starting from the same conditions as before and that we've literally done this before.
In the examples of an actually infinite past there are uncertainties introduced by the definition of what exactly an infinite past even is. For example, if we have an infinite expanse in just one dimension their is an infinite amount of prior events occurring at every instant. Of course we can narrow the definition down to an infinite length of time and not just an infinite number of events. Even so we must consider that in any possible pre-modern universe phase any imposed limits on the rate(velocity) of time are unreliable.
This unreliability in regards to the velocity or even existence of time actually creates the perfect conditions for the natural creation of an event as seemingly improbable as the creation of the modern universe. Does a pre-modern universe phase consist of a 0-dimensional universe where time is not even a concept? Does it consist of a 1-dimensional universe where time is the only dimension and unbound from space reaches to infinity itself? Or do all 4 classic dimensions remain un-inflated by the big bang but present nonetheless? In the last scenario I'm unsure what the effects on time would be but infinite and 0 both seem plausible to me.
From all of these possibilities that I can think of (and there are certainly more as I've made no attempt at exhausting the possibilities) I think even the scenarios of infinite past have rational natural explanaitions. After all if time itself is infinite it can traverse an infinite expanse of time to bring us to present day. The Kalam Argument is certainly an interesting one but it (and arguments like it) were formed prior to (or in ignorance of) a great deal of relevant work regarding the fundamental laws of the universe. As a result its premises are no longer considered as foundational as they once were and should now be considered assumptions, yet to be proven or disproven.








