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Whether you like it or not his prognostications are beyond sound. The reason is he probably applied logic rather then he applied bias. There are three factors the first is the clearance of the 20GB 360s. The second is the introduction of the rumored price cut. The third is the lineup. He is allowing one week for opposite trend due to the possibility of 20GB depletion on store shelves.

I think the lineup cannot be ignored. You have the PS3 has an incredibly weak lineup. They have SOCOM, Disgea 3, and Afrika. None of which are particularly noteworthy. The SOCOM series is a waning series for gamers. Disgea is most definitely not a blockbuster, and Afrika would be lucky to sell as many titles as Endless Ocean.

Meanwhile the 360 has three highly anticipated titles in Too Human, Tales of Vesperia, and Infinite Undiscovery. Two of which are bound to get decent advertising in North America, and nearing the end of the eight week period should see Fable II advertisements dancing along with Fallout 3 advertisements.

Anyway the prediction is far from idiotic. Hell to argue against it is to argue against logic. Also for those saying North America does not matter. Get real in a big way soon. North America is deciding the weekly winner, and will do so throughout the coarse of this year. So what North America thinks matters a great deal, and the 360 price point as of now seems to have caught their eye. What do you think will happen when a 360 hits the proverbial sweet spot. Do you think the sales will inch forward marginally? No the sales will rocket past a hundred thousand, and probably stay there, and there isn't much that the PS3 can do against that. He is really making a safe prediction.