I think there is one factor that people seem to be forgetting that could be a huge advantage for Nintendo, and this is Wii-DS connectivity.
It's going to happen, sooner or later. Now, I know the GC-GBA connectivity was for all intents and purposes a failure, but I don't think that was due to the concept, but more just how Nintendo executed. Now that they can communicate Wirelessly, and there is alot more potential then just having a TV screen and a GBA screen, Nintendo could really make something more of it.
If Nintendo completely nailed DS-Wii connectivity, if they got some absolute killer apps out which really made alot of the 50 million + DS owners want a Wii so they could do whatever cool things, I think Nintendo would be selling systems in more quantity then any exclusive games could ever do, and of course, it would pretty much lead Wii to complete dominance in Japan.
Of course the question is, can Nintendo pull it off? It's going to happen (probably in 2008), and with the huge success of the DS and with the Wii seemingly following suit, could PS3 and 360 really compete with it?
On another note, for the Wii games which could sell 4 million plus, Animal Crossing Wii is going to be a 2008 release so should have been added to that list. (And could be a fine example of Wii-DS connectivity too!)
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